Are you on the right side of United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event?

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 03 Feb 13:30 if the released value is > 1620K. A price movement of 24 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Jan 13:30
20 Jan 13:30
06 Jan 13:30
09 Dec 13:30
24 Nov 13:30
10 Nov 13:30