Are you on the right side of United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event?

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 09 Jul 12:30 if the released value is < 18950K. A price movement of 51 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Jun 12:30
28 May 12:30
14 May 12:30
30 Apr 12:30
23 Apr 12:30