Are you on the right side of United States Durable Goods Orders MoM news event?

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 88.89% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 23 Dec 13:30 if the released value is > 0.6%. A price movement of 32 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Nov 13:30
27 Oct 12:30
26 Aug 12:30
27 Jul 12:30
25 Jun 12:30
28 May 12:30
25 Mar 12:30
27 Feb 13:30