Are you on the right side of United States Existing Home Sales news event?

Based on the last 12 Existing Home Sales events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 18 Mar 14:00 if the released value is < 6.1M. A price movement of 43 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 Jan 15:00
22 Jul 14:00
21 May 14:00
22 Apr 14:00
22 Mar 14:00