Are you on the right side of United States Housing Starts news event?

Based on the last 12 Housing Starts events in United States, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 19 Jan 13:30 if the released value is < 1.65M. A price movement of 45 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Nov 13:30
19 Oct 12:30
18 Aug 12:30
16 Jun 12:30
18 May 12:30
18 Feb 13:30