Are you on the right side of United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news event?

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 01 Sep 14:00 if the released value is > 58.6. A price movement of 20 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Apr 14:00
01 Mar 15:00
05 Jan 15:00
02 Nov 15:00
01 Sep 14:00