Are you on the right side of United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news event?

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 02 Nov 15:00 if the released value is < 55.8. A price movement of 28 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Oct 14:00
02 Mar 15:00
03 Jan 15:00
02 Dec 15:00
01 Nov 14:00