Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 07 May 12:30 if the released value is < 978K. A price movement of 45 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Jan 13:30

04 Dec 13:30

02 Oct 12:30

04 Sep 12:30