Are you on the right side of United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index news event?

Based on the last 12 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 18 Mar 12:30 if the released value is < 23. A price movement of 157 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Dec 13:30
21 May 12:30
16 Apr 12:30
19 Mar 12:30