Are you on the right side of United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index news event?

Based on the last 12 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 18 Mar 12:30 if the released value is > 23. A price movement of 42 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Feb 13:30
21 Jan 13:30
19 Nov 13:30
18 Jun 12:30