EURUSD may trend downwards right now

We expect EURUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past Germany Balance of Trade news events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is < €21.5B. A price movement of 34 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Jan 07:00
09 Dec 07:00
08 Oct 06:00
08 Sep 06:00
09 Jul 06:00
09 Jun 06:00