EURUSD may trend upwards right now

We expect EURUSD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past Japan Tankan Large Manufacturers Index news events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is < -23. A price movement of 11 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jun 23:50
31 Mar 23:50
01 Apr 23:50