GBPUSD may trend downwards from 16 Feb 23:50

We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Japan Balance of Trade news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < ¥-600B. A price movement of 46 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Dec 23:50
19 Jul 23:50
20 May 23:50
19 Apr 23:50