GBPUSD may trend downwards right now

We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past Euro Area Industrial Production YoY news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 10.4%. A price movement of 33 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 May 09:00
14 Apr 09:00
12 Nov 10:00
12 Aug 09:00