Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 1% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Mar 12:30

15 Jan 13:30

16 Dec 13:30

17 Nov 13:30

16 Sep 12:30