Trade with an edge around todays Australia Balance of Trade news event

Based on past Australia Balance of Trade news events there is a 85.71% chance of EURUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > A$10.3B. A price movement of 21 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Sep 01:30
05 Aug 01:30
03 Jun 01:30
04 Mar 00:30
04 Feb 00:30
05 Nov 00:30