Trade with an edge around todays Australia NAB Business Confidence news event

Based on past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 75% chance of USDCAD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > -15. A price movement of 6 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 May 01:30
12 Nov 00:30
13 Aug 01:30