Trade with an edge around todays Australia NAB Business Confidence news event

Based on past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 75% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > -15. A price movement of 8 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Jun 01:30
12 Nov 00:30
13 Aug 01:30