Trade with an edge around todays Australia NAB Business Confidence news event

Based on past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 83.33% chance of EURUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > -3. A price movement of 11 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Oct 00:30
08 Sep 01:30
14 Jul 01:30
09 Jun 01:30
12 May 01:30