Trade with an edge around todays Australia NAB Business Confidence news event

Based on past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 66.67% chance of USDCAD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 6. A price movement of 11 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Nov 00:30
05 Oct 00:30
14 Jul 01:30
09 Jun 01:30