Trade with an edge around todays Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on past Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 81.82% chance of AUDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 22 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Aug 04:30
02 Jun 04:30
05 May 04:30
19 Mar 03:30
04 Feb 03:30
03 Dec 03:30
05 Nov 03:30
03 Sep 04:30