Trade with an edge around todays Euro Area Consumer Confidence Flash news event

Based on past Euro Area Consumer Confidence Flash news events there is a 80% chance of AUDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < -16.8. A price movement of 21 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 Oct 14:00
23 Jul 14:00
22 Apr 14:00
20 Dec 15:00