Trade with an edge around todays Euro Area GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est news event

Based on past Euro Area GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est news events there is a 81.82% chance of USDJPY trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = -12.1%. A price movement of 22 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 May 09:00
14 Feb 10:00
14 Aug 09:00
15 May 09:00
14 Nov 10:00
15 May 09:00
14 Feb 10:00
14 Nov 10:00
16 Aug 09:00