Trade with an edge around todays Euro Area Unemployment Rate news event

Based on past Euro Area Unemployment Rate news events there is a 75% chance of EURUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 8.1%. A price movement of 10 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Feb 10:00
02 Dec 10:00
30 Oct 10:00