Trade with an edge around todays Germany Balance of Trade news event

Based on past Germany Balance of Trade news events there is a 66.67% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < €9.2B. A price movement of 35 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Jan 07:00
09 Nov 07:00
08 Oct 06:00
09 Aug 06:00
08 Jul 06:00
09 Apr 06:00