Trade with an edge around todays Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on past Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = -0.1%. A price movement of 43 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Sep 03:00
15 Jul 03:00
16 Jun 02:45
22 May 03:00
16 Mar 05:00
31 Oct 04:00
30 Jul 03:00
20 Jun 03:00