Trade with an edge around todays Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on past Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 75% chance of SI trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is = -0.1%. A price movement of 11 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Dec 03:00
22 Sep 03:00
16 Jul 03:00
18 Jun 03:00
21 Jan 03:00
18 Dec 03:45
17 Sep 03:00
15 Jul 03:00
16 Jun 02:45