Trade with an edge around todays Japan Consumer Confidence news event

Based on past Japan Consumer Confidence news events there is a 75% chance of USDCAD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 30.8. A price movement of 4 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Dec 05:00
02 Oct 05:00
31 Jul 05:00