Trade with an edge around todays Japan Inflation Rate YoY news event

Based on past Japan Inflation Rate YoY news events there is a 75% chance of USDCHF trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > -0.1%. A price movement of 5 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Jun 23:30
18 Feb 23:30
17 Sep 23:30