Trade with an edge around todays New Zealand Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on past New Zealand Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 70% chance of AUDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0.5%. A price movement of 27 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Jul 02:00
26 May 02:00
14 Apr 02:00
24 Feb 01:00
11 Nov 01:00
13 May 02:00
12 Feb 01:00