Trade with an edge around todays United Kingdom Claimant Count Change news event

Based on past United Kingdom Claimant Count Change news events there is a 80% chance of USDCHF trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 676.5K. A price movement of 15 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Nov 09:30
16 Jul 08:30
11 Jun 08:30
14 May 08:30