Trade with an edge around todays United Kingdom Claimant Count Change news event

Based on past United Kingdom Claimant Count Change news events there is a 75% chance of USDCAD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 10K. A price movement of 45 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Feb 09:30
21 Jan 09:30
10 Sep 08:30
13 Aug 08:30