Trade with an edge around todays United Kingdom Claimant Count Change news event

Based on past United Kingdom Claimant Count Change news events there is a 85.71% chance of USDCAD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 25K. A price movement of 20 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 Apr 06:00
23 Feb 07:00
10 Nov 07:00
13 Oct 06:00
15 Sep 06:00
16 Jul 06:00