Trade with an edge around todays United States Adp Employment Change news event

Based on past United States Adp Employment Change news events there is a 71.43% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > -9000K. A price movement of 13 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Mar 13:15
05 Feb 13:15
08 Jan 13:15
30 Oct 12:15
31 Jul 12:15