Trade with an edge around todays United States Adp Employment Change news event

Based on past United States Adp Employment Change news events there is a 66.67% chance of GBPUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 650K. A price movement of 43 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Jun 12:15
01 Apr 12:15
08 Jan 13:15