Trade with an edge around todays United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event

Based on past United States Continuing Jobless Claims news events there is a 75% chance of USDCHF trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 3667K. A price movement of 24 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Mar 12:30
11 Mar 13:30
04 Mar 13:30
18 Feb 13:30
11 Feb 13:30
04 Feb 13:30