Trade with an edge around todays United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event

Based on past United States Continuing Jobless Claims news events there is a 75% chance of EURUSD trending downwards. A price movement of 86 could occur if the released value is < 1325K. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

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05 May 12:30
21 Apr 12:30
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31 Mar 12:30
24 Mar 12:30