Trade with an edge around todays United States Durable Goods Orders MoM news event

Based on past United States Durable Goods Orders MoM news events there is a 71.43% chance of NZDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 0.7%. A price movement of 21 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Jul 12:30
24 Jun 12:30
24 Mar 12:30
27 Jan 13:30
25 Sep 12:30