Trade with an edge around todays United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel news event

Based on past United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel news events there is a 75% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 80. A price movement of 71 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Dec 15:00
14 Aug 14:00
12 Jun 14:00
15 May 14:00
13 Mar 14:00
14 Feb 15:00