Trade with an edge around todays United States New Home Sales news event

Based on past United States New Home Sales news events there is a 77.78% chance of EURUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 0.895M. A price movement of 12 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Jul 14:00
23 Apr 14:00
26 Feb 15:00
26 Nov 15:00