Trade with an edge around todays United States Non Farm Payrolls news event

Based on past United States Non Farm Payrolls news events there is a 83.33% chance of EURUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > -8000K. A price movement of 45 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 May 12:30
06 Mar 13:30
07 Feb 13:30
06 Dec 13:30
05 Jul 12:30