Trade with an edge around todays United States Non Farm Payrolls news event

Based on past United States Non Farm Payrolls news events there is a 83.33% chance of EURUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 400K. A price movement of 20 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Feb 13:30
05 Nov 12:30
06 Aug 12:30
02 Apr 12:30
05 Mar 13:30