Trade with an edge around todays United States Retail Sales MoM news event

Based on past United States Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 66.67% chance of GBPUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 0.7%. A price movement of 38 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Jul 12:30
15 Nov 13:30