Want to know why AUDUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, we expect a $430 movement on AUDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 15 Jul 03:00. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 15 Jul 03:00 if the released value is = -0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Jun 02:45
22 May 03:00
16 Mar 05:00
31 Oct 04:00
30 Jul 03:00
20 Jun 03:00
25 Apr 03:00
15 Mar 03:00