Want to know why EURUSD is going downwards for the next 2 hours?

Based on the last 12 Housing Starts events in United States, we expect a $290 movement on EURUSD within the next 2 hours. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is < 1.478M Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Jun 12:30
19 May 12:30
16 Apr 12:30
19 Nov 13:30