Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect a $420 movement on EURUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 14 Jan 13:30. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 14 Jan 13:30 if the released value is < 0% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Dec 13:30

17 Aug 12:30

16 Mar 12:30

15 Jan 13:30