Want to know why EURUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect a $50 movement on EURUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 13 Feb 13:30. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 13 Feb 13:30 if the released value is < 2.4% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Oct 12:30
12 Jun 12:30