Want to know why GBPUSD is going downwards for the next 2 hours?

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect a $530 movement on GBPUSD within the next 2 hours. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is < 800K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Mar 13:15
06 Jan 13:15
02 Dec 13:15
04 Nov 13:15
02 Sep 12:15
06 May 12:15