Want to know why GBPUSD is going downwards for the next 2 hours?

Based on the last 12 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index events in United States, we expect a $120 movement on GBPUSD within the next 2 hours. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is < 31 Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Dec 13:30
20 Aug 12:30