Want to know why GBPUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect a $330 movement on GBPUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 16 Dec 13:30. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 16 Dec 13:30 if the released value is > -0.3%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Oct 12:30
16 Jun 12:30